Why this call

Spain are reigning European champions with a world-class squad featuring Lamine Yamal, Nico Williams, Pedri, Rodri, and Dani Olmo — arguably one of the top two or three teams in the world. Cape Verde are a solid African nation but ranked far below Spain with players mostly from lower European leagues. There is no head-to-head history between these sides. The quality gap is enormous: Spain's midfield and attack will dominate possession and create numerous chances, while Cape Verde will struggle to create any threat going forward. Spain should win comfortably and are very likely to exceed 2.5 goals on their own; confidence in a home win is very high though exact scoreline confidence is moderate given Spain might rotate or Cape Verde might park the bus to limit damage.